Death After Treatment for Heroin Dependence

Rehab Helps Thousands of Addicts Quit. It Can Help You, Too.

“The operation was a success but the patient died.”

Tolerance for opioids can easily increase ten-fold with regular opioid use; likewise tolerance can drop back down to its original level after a period of abstinence leaving the user extremely vulnerable to death by opioid poisoning at this time. Ninety percent or more of opioid poisoning deaths are actually polydrug poisoning resulting from drug mixing which is why we will be using the term drug poisoning in this article. Education about drug mixing is an extremely important aspect of overdose prevention.

Successful graduates of 28 day abstinence-based rehab programs are at the greatest risk for drug poisoning death of any population because of lowered tolerance…-Kenneth Anderson

Methadone maintenance treatment programs (MMTs) and therapeutic communities (TCs) which offer long term stays have been shown to have a strong protective effect against drug poisoning deaths for heroin users for as long as users remain in treatment. The evidence suggests that people who graduate from MMTs and TCs have good outcomes. However, people who leave MMTs and TCs prematurely because they drop out or are kicked out are at greatly increased risk for drug poisoning death compared to untreated heroin users.

Successful graduates of 28 day abstinence-based rehab programs are at the greatest risk for drug poisoning death of any population because of lowered tolerance; those who continue to use heroin during 28 day treatment or drop out early are far less at risk than successful graduates of these programs. Newly released inmates are at far greater risk of drug poisoning death than the general public or inmates in prison.

Because of this increased risk of death after treatment or incarceration, overdose prevention training and Narcan (naloxone) distribution ought to be mandatory at every treatment facility and correctional facility…-Kenneth Anderson

Because of this increased risk of death after treatment or incarceration, overdose prevention training and Narcan (naloxone) distribution ought to be mandatory at every treatment facility and correctional facility in the United States. Although a few areas such as New York State have made progress in this direction, the country as a whole lags behind and remains mired in a slough of ignorance and overdose death.

The Protective Effect of Methadone Maintenance

Numerous studies have demonstrated that Methadone Maintenance Treatment (MMT) reduces drug poisoning mortality roughly 75 percent compared to untreated heroin users. A seminal study by Caplehorn et al. (1996) followed a cohort of 296 Australian heroin users over a period of 15 years with the results shown in Figure 1 below. (Note that the cohort was divided into two age groups: 20-29 and 30-39 years old.)

Protective Effects of Other Forms of Treatment

Since MMT had been demonstrated protective against overdose death for those in treatment, Davoli et al. (2007) decided to investigate whether other forms of treatment also showed protective effects against drug poisoning death for those in treatment, as well as investigating if there were elevated death rates after leaving treatment. The study was carried out in Italy and the subjects were 10,454 Italian heroin users. Figure 2 shows the opioid poisoning death rates for those in treatment and for those who left. It also gives death rates for those who died during the first 30 days after leaving treatment and for those who died after being out of treatment for longer than 30 days. Table 1 gives the actual numbers of individuals who died.

As we can see, all treatments offered substantial protection against drug poisoning deaths as long as the clients remained in treatment. However, there were high death rates after leaving treatment, particularly during the first 30 days. It is reasonable to assume that these high death rates in the first 30 days are the result of lost tolerance.

This suggests that programs which rapidly detoxify dependent heroin users and place them quickly back on the street put these users at high risk of overdose death.-Kenneth Anderson

It is also important to note that all 9 overdose deaths from the methadone maintenance cohort were treatment drop outs; no successful graduates of methadone maintenance suffered overdose death. Likewise, 4 out of 5 of the TC cohort who suffered overdose death were dropouts, only one was a successful graduate. On the other hand, 6 out of 7 of the methadone detoxification cohort who suffered overdose death were successful graduates of the program; only one who died was a drop out. This suggests that programs which rapidly detoxify dependent heroin users and place them quickly back on the street put these users at high risk of overdose death. We shall see this phenomenon again below when we look at 28 day rehab programs.

What is the Drug Poisoning Death Rate for Untreated Heroin Dependence?

Determining the mortality rate due to drug poisoning for untreated heroin dependence is not a simple task; it is likely that this number varies greatly from cohort to cohort and time and place. Cohorts which only snort heroin and avoid drug mixing will have far lower mortality rates than cohorts which inject and mix drugs. For the sake of this article we are going to assume that the death rate of untreated, dependent heroin users is 1,000 deaths per 100,000 person years. This number seems reasonable if we look at the death rates for the two untreated cohorts in Figure 1: 1510 for 20-29 year olds and 580 for 30-39 year olds. If we split the difference we obtain approximately 1,000.

It is also possible and fairly simple to calculate the mortality rates for all heroin users in the US, treated and untreated, dependent and non-dependent. We can do this by simply dividing the number of heroin poisoning deaths (obtained from CDC WONDER) by the number of users (obtained from SAMHSA). If we do so then we see that there is a huge variation in the death rates for all users going from a low of 373 deaths per 100,000 person years in 2006 to a high of 1213 in 2013. It is possible that rate increases in recent years are due to naive users who are unaware of the dangers of drug mixing. Given these numbers it also seems reasonable to assume a death rate fir untreated, dependent users of around 1,000 deaths per 100,000 person years, particularly since one may assume that the death rate for dependent users is higher than that for all users.

Drug Poisoning Death Rates After 28 Day Rehab

Preliminary investigations by Strang (2003) suggest extremely high death rates after the successful completion of 28 day rehab with full heroin detoxification. Those who failed to successfully complete the program had lower death rates due to the fact that they had not lost their tolerance. There were 137 subjects in the Strang study. Out of 37 people successfully completing 28 day opiate detox and rehab, 3 had died of drug poisoning within 4 months, giving us a whopping opioid poisoning death rate of 32,432 deaths per 100,000 person years. None of the 100 non-completers died of heroin poisoning.

Out of 37 people successfully completing 28 day opiate detox and rehab, 3 had died of drug poisoning within 4 months…-Kenneth Anderson

Strang is not the first investigator to report increases in death rate after 28 day rehab, Gossop et al. (1989) also reported increases as had other investigators. However, the alarmingly high rates found by Strang call urgently for further investigations of death after 28 day rehab with a much larger cohort size.

Drug Poisoning Death Rates After Incarceration

Binswanger et al. (2007) found inmates during the first two weeks after release from prison were 129 times more likely to die of drug poisoning than the general public. Rates of drug poisoning death for ex-inmates were 1840 deaths per 100,000 person years in the first two weeks and 181 deaths per 100,000 person years over the long term. Great care must be taken not to draw mistaken conclusions when comparing the treatment cohorts to the inmate cohorts. The fact that the overdose rate is far lower for the inmate cohorts does NOT prove that incarceration is a better option than treatment because we are looking at totally different populations. All individuals in the treatment cohort were in treatment for heroin dependence and it is reasonable to assume that all met the criteria for heroin dependence. Moreover, overdose deaths in the treatment cohorts involved opioids, possibly mixed with other drugs.

The inmate sample, on the other hand, was a random sample of inmates released from prison, the majority of whom had never been heroin dependent. According to Albizu-García et al. (2012), the lifetime prevalence of heroin dependence among US prison inmates is 15 percent. According to the 2004 National Inmate Survey, 8.2 percent of inmates had used heroin within a month of offending. Additionally, it is uncertain how many inmates were drug-free during the course of their incarceration. Finally, Binswanger (2013) notes that among the earlier cohort of inmates (1999-2003), cocaine was the primary drug involved in the largest number of overdose deaths, whereas in the later inmate cohort (2004-2009) opioids were the most frequently involved drugs. Thus, only a small number people from the inmate cohorts were former heroin users who had been abstinent.

Putting it All Together

Figure 3 summarizes the data we have about drug poisoning death after recent release from treatment or incarceration, and Figure 4 gives the numbers for the death rates long term after release from treatment or incarceration.

As we can see from Figure 3, dependent heroin users completing 28 day abstinence based treatment are 32 times more likely to die of overdose within the first 4 months after release than are dependent heroin users who receive no treatment at all. The data we see above also suggest that methadone detoxification programs may also lead to hugely increased death rates in the short term; however, no studies of this specific phenomenon appear to have ever been conducted. It is shocking that there is no agency in the US tracking deaths after treatment or other treatment outcomes.

It is shocking that there is no agency in the US tracking deaths after treatment or other treatment outcomes.-Kenneth Anderson

Types of Heroin Treatment Utilized in the US

The data we have seen above suggest that methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) and therapeutic communities (TCs) both have a protective effect against heroin poisoning deaths. It is likely that this is because both of these types of treatments are long term treatments which can last a year or more and hence give heroin users enough time away from heroin to adjust to life without it. However, data from TEDS (Treatment Episode Data Set) show that in 2012, only 27.6 percent of heroin users undergoing treatment in the US received some form of medication assisted treatment (MAT), which could range from methadone or buprenorphine maintenance to methadone or buprenorphine detoxification. Only 8.8 percent were in a therapeutic community (TC). In other words, there is a real dearth of protective treatments, i. e. methadone maintenance and TCs, in the US.

The First 14 Days on Methadone: It is important to note that the first 14 days on methadone is a time when clients are at a greatly increased risk of overdose death. Narcan (naloxone) is an essential for these clients.

Does Treatment Have to Last a Lifetime?

No. The research shows that those who drop out of treatment or are kicked out have the worst outcomes. Those who graduate from treatment when they are ready have the best outcomes. In the case of methadone this includes a slow and gradual taper off the methadone. Ball and Ross (1991) followed up 105 patients who had left methadone treatment for one year. Twenty three had successfully completed the program. At the one year follow up date, 7 of the 23 had returned to treatment, 7 had abstained since leaving treatment, 7 were actively using heroin, and 2 had relapsed but were no longer using heroin. Two of those who returned to treatment had never relapsed. Hence, the relapse rate of the successful graduates was 14/23 or 61 percent. The relapse rate for the entire 105 was 82 percent. The percentage of successful graduates showing good outcomes was (7 + 7 + 2)/23 = 16/23 = 70 percent. Hence, the program graduates did better than the non-graduates. Transitions from methadone maintenance to successful abstinence are common, but the data suggests that people should be maintained on methadone as long as they wish.

Transitions from methadone maintenance to successful abstinence are common, but the data suggests that people should be maintained on methadone as long as they wish.-Kenneth Anderson

New York State Initiatives

New York State has been at the forefront of introducing overdose prevention training into both addiction treatment centers and the prison system. All state operated treatment programs in New York State are slated to provide overdose prevention training and provide Narcan (naloxone), and as of this writing a large number already do. In addition, many private providers in New York State have initiated overdose prevention training and Narcan distribution, including such traditional programs as Daytop Village, Odyssey House and Phoenix House. Here is the New York State Opioid Overdose Prevention Programs Directory.

New York is also at the forefront of overdose prevention training and Narcan (naloxone) distribution in prison. The Lower East Side Harm Reduction Center has been offering overdose prevention training and distributing Narcan (naloxone) to friends and family of inmates at Riker’s Island since 2012. New York State offered the first overdose prevention training at Queensboro Correctional Facility in February 2015. This program is expected to expand statewide to all 54 correctional facilities. Inmates who complete the training can receive an overdose prevention kit with Narcan (naloxone) upon release.


  • All treatment programs and correctional programs in the US need to institute overdose prevention training and hand out Narcan (naloxone) kits.
  • Thorough investigation of death rates following 28 day treatment and rapid methadone or buprenorphine detoxification is called for as graduates of such programs appear to have extremely high overdose death rates.
  • Do NOT send your loved one to any treatment program that does not include overdose prevention training and Narcan (naloxone) in the curriculum.
  • Protective treatments like methadone and TCs need to be greatly expanded in the US.
  • Twenty eight day rehabs put dependent heroin users at a high risk for overdose death after treatment and should possibly be eliminated.
  • Rapid detox with methadone or buprenorphine also puts dependent heroin users at a high risk for overdose death after treatment and should possibly be eliminated.
  • The first two weeks of methadone initiation are high risk for overdose–use caution.
  • Remember, money talks and bullshit walks. The way to convince rehabs to institute overdose prevention training and medication assisted treatment is to stop sending them clients until they do.

What Are Your Thoughts on this Topic?

  • AddictionMyth

    Wow 28 day rehab looks more like a self-destruction program. Shocking! People need to see this.

    As for TC’s, you exclude the ones who leave, who have a much higher death rate. “It is reasonable to assume that these high death rates in the first 30 days are the result of lost tolerance.” No, based on your data, it is reasonable to hypothesize that they are being killed by the same forces involved in 28-day rehab mortality. (E.g. lost tolerance but more likely 12 step cult indoctrination and bullying.)

    Thanks again for the science and for the reasonable public health recommendations, which will certainly save lives.

    • Mr. “Worse than AA”
    • kennethanderson

      People who have lost tolerance to opiates are far more susceptible to dying from a drug cocktail containing an opiate than are those who have not lost tolerance.

      • AddictionMyth

        OK please post your source for “10 fold”. And why you think ‘drug cocktail’ is not a suicide attempt especially if they emptied every bottle in the house. (And thank you in advance for not hurling insults.)

        • Unwelcome Guest

          Suicide is defined as being intentional. You seem to be fixated on this topic without a clear understanding of it. Yes, someone that has an opiate addiction coming out of rehab may be contemplating suicide with the intention of carrying it out, but there are probably many more that are only intending to get high that die from this. The more savvy addict knows they can get a good high from a lesser dose, like anything else it is all about education. That is what the rehabs should supply their clients by the time of their discharge. Granted, that is too rational and logical for the current mindset, it still is a solution to this problem. If you wish to crap and complain about the current state of affairs, at least have the common decency to offer some viable solutions.

          • AddictionMyth

            Drug addicts are experts on dosage and probably know it better than most doctors and it’s ridiculous to claim that they are all doing this accidentally. Yes I’m sure the victims of the holocaust ‘accidentally’ fell into the ovens too. You are obviously just covering for your bullying cult for reasons that go beyond me. However I’ve discovered that there is a huge overlap between the bullies and bullied. Perhaps you got butthurt somewhere along the line and now take out your frustrations on others by brainwashing them into powerlessness and suicide. If so I really feel sorry for you. But I need to tell you it’s enough now and stop killing people already. I am fighting every day to save people from bullies like you. And guess what? To the extent that rehabs and Ken don’t censor me, I’m doing it!

            And if you don’t believe me, just read Ken’s last article where he says that we need to decriminalize drugs and do public service on how (not) to kill yourself by drug mixing and ask him if he still stands behind such insanity. Otherwise I suggest you go away and let the adults continue this discussion.

            • Unwelcome Guest

              A bully is a problem to you I take it, what is your solution? A problem without a solution, is a problem.
              As to your remarks about me, you are obviously delusional as to who I am and what I am about.
              I am not sure what Ken is up to, if he thinks the PTB are just going to roll over and solve this problem at their own expense, I will venture to say he is delusional, also.

              • AddictionMyth

                My solution is to put everyone on coerced vivitroll before they leave treatment or prison. This will greatly reduce overdose (intentional or otherwise) in the first 4 months so the scientists can cry, “They lived! It’s miraculous!” Even if half of them blow their brains out on the 5th.

                I don’t believe that people should be put on a ‘solution’ of coerced vivitroll, and I don’t believe that people should be put on a ‘program’ of 12 Step suicide cult brainwashing. That’s my program and my solution to solve the overdose epidemic in this country. Are you going to ask me again what my solution is?

              • Unwelcome Guest

                It is disturbing to see you post how you are going to save people from themselves, when that is exactly the solution you oppose. Who appointed you to this task? Your argument appears no different than the disease model. Do you belive that people are capable of making their own choices or do they require a hero, such as you, to make them for them? Do you wish to gain understanding or is your intention to impose your beliefs on others?
                Next time you use an ad hominem on someone, concider the conciquences.

              • AddictionMyth

                I can’t save people from themselves. I can warn them of the people like you who will bully them into suicide while distracting others with false assumptions about overdose spouted as gospel: ‘it was obviously unintentional in most cases!’ I was appointed to this task by your higher power. He told me to tell you not to take it personally, but I wasn’t sure if he was kidding. (You can never tell with those theosophists.)

              • Unwelcome Guest

                Warning them is still an attempt to save them, you are deluding yourself thinking otherwise.
                Anyway, why would you expect anyone to listen to you if you treat them the way your are treating me, right now. Do I count for anything here with you? Does it matter to you how I feel about what you have just said about me here? Do you care if I live or die? I would like to know this in order to understand why you treat me this way.

              • AddictionMyth

                If you don’t like what I’m saying, I’m sorry. Take what you need and leave the rest and don’t let the door hit you on the way out.

              • Unwelcome Guest

                I am not aware that I am going away, are you asking me to leave, is that your solution? That is the AA way, tell them to go away, is that what you are telling me?

              • AddictionMyth

                You’ve called me crazy and deluded in at least a half dozen ways. You say I am “fixated” and “without a clear understanding”. You’ve thrown in a bunch of other insinuations of ‘insane, ignorant, in denial, lying, crazy, and stupid’. I’ve answered all your questions and you persist in 12 Step bullying strategy: “Don’t you like me?” Next stop: “Oh I was just kidding.” Thank you for demonstrating “How it works”. Sorry for the interruption, please proceed:

              • AddictionMyth

                LOL #kthxbai

            • Unwelcome Guest

              The only thing drug addicts are experts at is being stupid, why do you think they call it dope.

  • William

    Perhaps the biggest mistake is to used the word “Treatment”…..perhaps approaches would be a better word.

  • Juliet.roxspin

    I know of only one MAT (largely non 12 Step) rehab system in Ohio where I live but in the Southern part of the state. However, this is information I’ll pass along to the people I know in and around the rehab business in the Northern counties. (And yes, AA/NA meetings ARE part of the rehab business, as they directly EXCLUSIVELY benefit from getting all referrals. Which is a monopoly. Thanks for this, because my former county EXPANDED 12 Step treatment, of course, the public is not educated and “more treatment” sounds good to them.

  • stacie burns

    I’m absolutely ecstatic about this article thank you for the awareness we have a non profit in Michigan SUPPORT YOUR LOCAL NO-HEROIN VP STACIE BURNS-NATALE

  • Gary Thompson

    Ontario Canada has taught ten’s of thousands to give chest compressions only to OD patients killing not only the drug user but anyone else that suffers any respiratory emergency. Live human study Google CJPH 2013;104(3):e200-4

  • Gary Thompson

    Live human study CJPH 2013;104(3):e200-4 chest compression’s only for OD contraindicated

    • Joss B

      I will look this up, thank you.

      • Gary Thompson

        Joss some hyperlinks to this live human study Agnotology is the study of culturally induced ignorance or doubt, particularly the publication of inaccurate or misleading scientific [medical] data. Agnotology focuses on the deliberate fomenting of ignorance or doubt in society. Google CJPH 2013;104(3):e200-4

        Response Chief Medical Officer TPH et al. link to

        A favored response from professors etc. “…our experts…” when they can’t substantiate a claim.

        Proper treatment with naloxone & medical consensus
        link to

        Please call Public Health 416-392-0520 Mon-Fri 10-5pm. No blame change this protocol, stop a war on humanity.

        Best Wishes
        Twitter GaryCPR

        • Joss B

          I’m sorry but I’ve read a few responses and articles as well as your petition and it is not clear to me what you’re saying. Compressions + rescue breathing SHOULD be given in instances of opoid overdose ? And no naloxone after cardiac arrest ?

          • Gary Thompson

            There is no medical evidence anywhere past, present nor future for chest compressions nor full CPR for any poisoning or drug OD. Rescue breathing then naloxone and continue rescue breathing. Before Naloxone 1970 patients kept alive with respiratory assist until the drugs wore off and the patient started breathing on their own. Your pet eats any poison or drug the veterinarian will give respiratory assist and antidotes, not kill them with chest compression’s only nor full CPR! Why do we allow this to happen to our women and children?
            link to
            Live human study Ontario, Canada majority of harm is happening to non drug overdoses. Chest compressions only specific to respiratory emergency contraindicated. Perpetuating a war on humanity on purpose. New program started Ontario, March 22 ‘Face the Fentanyl’ a life threatening protocol.
            link to

      • Gary Thompson

        Emergency Medicine News Dec 2015 link to
        Read all comments under this deputation Board of Health link to

  • A mom

    I totally agree…. 28 days detox it’s Not enough ,they should keep them longer 4-6 months at list and treat them properly. My son was 28 days detox program after we sent him in a ” treatment center ” and after 4 months he was kicked out from using the FB . We sent him right away in a halfway house thinking he was ready. After 3 months there he relapsed. They kick him out in the middle of the night with no where to go. He was in Florida we live in NY. After 2 days being homeless we find help and send him again in a treatment center in SC. I didn’t know some or all of this treatment center accept to take inside drug dealers which are send there force by law. Instead to go to jail they give them the option rehab. This kind of people they are not going there to get better… of this drug dealer was there and he give my son and the other 2 , drugs for free. Of course, they been kicked out and after one week my son was found dead by the same drug dealer, in the motel room.
    The system in this country it’s broke and nobody does anything. Kids are still dying.

  • MC

    This….this is amazing reporting. Thank you for writing this. I am an RN, so I am medically trained, and also an addict in recovery. I didn’t realize it at the time but the doctor who I sought treatment from 13 years ago saved my life with buprenorphine. He said to me “you can’t get better when you’re dead.” It takes a long, long time to get better and I feel like parents, loved one, and the pt themselves need to understand that you don’t just go in to some great sounding inpatient rehab and come out the other end in any way “recovered,” 28 days is just enough time to detox and go to zero tolerance. But nowhere near enough time to not be craving opiates very intensely. This is SETTING PATIENTS UP TO DIE. It’s almost impossible to believe how little heroin it takes to kill someone once they don’t have a tolerance. Many of these people have been using high doses for possibly years and may not even remember how little it takes. It took me almost a decade to really get better, and I am certain that I would have died from an overdose if I had used only abstinence based treatment. The overdose protection that Suboxone provided saved my life on more than one occasion. But more than that, it allowed me the time to get my life back in order and actually get better. The way things are right now, these 28 day programs are essentially death camps for those with opiate addictions. Again, thank you for writing this and finding the actual numbers which confirm my suspicions.

    • DeanDD

      MC… I’m so glad that Suboxone helped you get better. It helped my son beat his heroin addiction, too. In my mind, anything that helps someone get off of heroin is worthwhile. Haters gonna hate, but my family knows better. I wish you nothing but the best going forward. :)

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